Mining Review Weekly Update 19th December 2021

City Investors Circle – Mining Review 19th Dec 2021

The price of gold is still gyrating between $1760 and $1810, as the FOMC meeting comments are absorbed by the market, and sentiment changes by the day.

Ascot Resources, Cabral Gold, Canuc Resources, Neometals, and Orla Mining all made significant announcements this week.

 

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Cabral Gold excavator

Cabral Gold exploration at Cuiu Cuiu, Para State, Brazil.

 

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City Investors Circle – Mining Review 19th Dec 2021

The price of gold is still gyrating between $1760 and $1810, as the FOMC meeting comments are absorbed by the market, and sentiment changes by the day.

Gold just failed to hold $1800 on Friday, but December is normally a poor month for the yellow metal, so if it can hold current levels until the New Year, it’s reasonable to expect a rally above %1800 then.

South America produced the big political news this week, with the government of Chabut, Argentina, finally approving mining in the area that includes Pan American Silver’s Navidad (Christmas) mine.

This has been a long time coming and involved some last minute chicanery by the pro mining lobby to carry the vote, which was close. This has led to riots, see HERE.

The other news was the temporary closure of Las Bambas copper mine in Peru, owned by Chinese company MMG, as protesters have blocked the road as a result of a dispute with the company. Las Bambas produces 2% of the world’s copper, so is a significant supplier.

City Investors Circle - Mining Review

Las Bambas Copper Mine, Apurimac Region, Peru

 

Company news this week

Ascot Resources, Cabral Gold, Canuc Resources, Neometals, and Orla Mining all made significant announcements this week, as detailed below.

Apollo Consolidated bid farewell to the markets as it was absorbed into Ramelius Resources after the successful buyout. given that Ramelius are a profitable producing gold miner, one would expect they will be able to easily fund more exploration at lake Rebecca in the near term. Transporting concentrate to one of their five nearby mines in Western Australia must  be an option, thus saving on capex.

Earlier this year we lost Roxgold as it was the subject of a successful bid by Fortuna Silver. I did not like the deal at the time, because Roxgold were doing everything right, in production, making a profit, and building a second mine from earnings. Fortuna have a mix of silver properties in Argentina, Peru, and Mexico.

My objection to the deal was that Fortuna had mines in Argentina and Peru, which are too high risk for me at the moment, and only one project in a tier 1 jurisdiction, Mexico. Ironically they have lost their licence in Mexico!  As a result the price has halved in short order. I wonder how the remaining Roxgold shareholders are feeling now?

 

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Stocks on our watchlist in the news last week

   Ascot Resources drills 36.2 g/t Gold Over 7.1 M at Sebakwe

  Maple Gold Mines Closes C$7 million Bought Deal

  Orla Mining Pours First Gold at Camino Rojo, Mexico

  Colonial Coal shareholders re-elect six directors

  Canuc Resources Issues San Javier Project Update

  Cabral Gold Drills 70.8m @ 1.0 g/t Gold at MG Gold

  Neometals signs agreement for ELi®Lithium Process

 

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Market Data

(All in US$)

 

Precious metals

Gold 1799 1%
Silver 22.35 1%
Palladium 1718 -2%
Platinum 937 -1%
Rhodium 14000 0%

A steady week considering the implications of the FOMC meeting, rising interest rates quicker than anticipated, and tapering coming.

Platinum and palladium are suffering due to the low volumes of new cars being produced globally.

 

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Base Metals

Copper 4.32 0%
Nickel 8.88 -2%
Zinc 1.54 1%
Tin 17.71 -3%

Tin and nickel both took slight knocks, after having strong rises during 2021. The temporary closure of the Las Bambas copper mine in Peru has not resulted in a rise in the price of the metal yet.

 

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Energy Metals

Cobalt 31.42 0%
Manganese 3.23 0%
Lithium 33802 6%
Uranium 44.15 -4%

Uranium is slipping back slowly after the recent steep ascent after years in the doldrums. One of the reasons for the rise was companies like UEC, and the newly created Sprott Uranium Fund buying up spare supply and warehousing it.

 

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Bulk commodities

Iron Ore 120.1 9%
Coking Coal 336 4%
Magnesium 6862 6%

With the power situation improving in China and the government allowing steel production to increase the iron ore and coking coal have surged again.

We have added magnesium to this category, due to it being involved in steel production. It is a critical metal and china supplies 87% of world volume. The price has been rising sharply, and is up over 150% in 2021.

 

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Metal ETF’s

GDX 31.13 2%
GDXJ 40.48 0%
Sil 36.05 1%
SILJ 12.14 1%
GOEX 28.43 -1%
GLD 167.8 1%
COPX 35.77 -3%

We have added the copper COPX  Global X Copper Miners ETF to this category.

 

City Investors Circle – Mining Review 19th Dec 2021 is complete.

 

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Disclosure

At the time of writing the author holds shares in Ascot Resources, Colonial Coal, Maple Gold, and Orla Mining, bought in the market at the prevailing price on the days of purchase.

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